Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Donlaphob Jitsuwanthaya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs siwa vichaidit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Round 9: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
14th • 6-0-0
67%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
5.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ritwiset Namwiset (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wayu Saengphithak (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
26th • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nitipoom Soijit (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
75%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs chayut langthong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Ritwiset Namwiset (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Pongrat Winaiwatthanawong (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Phumin kidlertlam (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ingkarat Boonyamanond (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Tanaphun Phuagkhaopong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.