National Championship 2025 - Thailand - Verdance, Thorn of the Rose (CC)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chanon Puttaree

5th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nitipoom Soijit (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.15
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

ANnansuo Junkeaw

15th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

Deck

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Patrick Prakobhiran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Natthaworn Raungsiripinyo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.05
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.68
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.48
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.22

Tanawat Sukkaew

17th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paramee(Time) Khamsommat (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.30
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.68
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chanokchon Jundee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.15
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.