FaB-Results

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2025 - Thailand

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pongrat Winaiwatthanawong
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tippayaporn Pongmee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Rati Chiewlian
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
Dash I/O
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.