Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.