Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2025 - Thailand
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Krit Bumrungjit (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chanokchon Jundee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.