FaB-Results

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at National Championship 2025 - France

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Louis Guillot
5th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romain Garcin (Unknown)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Dash I/O
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Kano, Dracai of Aether
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
Dash I/O
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Anthony Achin
15th • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
4.7
Diff
Dash I/O
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs simon diaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Terry Magrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kevin Pennec (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pierre Canali (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Lucas Saillour
52nd • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Caubet (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonin Poubeau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ariela Randriamasy (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
Paul Dollé
9th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Chevrinais (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Pecastaing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Etienne BARIOULET
18th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
6.9
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs enzo costa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dominique JABES (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Dominique JABES
29th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Duruy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Nicolas Pizzonero
46th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Geoffroy Massard
56th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Gardize (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Fai, Rising Rebellion
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Antoine Billy
66th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Théo Marmisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Dash I/O
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joris Masson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Kevin Pennec
23rd • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kim Barroso (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Molinari (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Olivier HENRY
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Fourrier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Brunoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arthur Brunoni
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Meunier (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Dorinthea Ironsong
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Olivier HENRY (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Jonathan Bollier
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Killian HENRY (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.