Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romain Garcin (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
15th • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs simon diaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Terry Magrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kevin Pennec (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pierre Canali (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
52nd • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Caubet (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonin Poubeau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ariela Randriamasy (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
9th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Chevrinais (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Pecastaing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
18th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
6.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs enzo costa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dominique JABES (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
29th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Duruy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
46th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
56th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Gardize (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
66th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Théo Marmisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joris Masson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
23rd • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kim Barroso (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Molinari (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Fourrier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Brunoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Meunier (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Olivier HENRY (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.