National Championship 2025 - France - Marlynn, Treasure Hunter (CC)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Killian HENRY

33rd • 3-3-0

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.7

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Bollier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Martin Thullier (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.71	2.99
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	3.05

Alexis VALENTIN

13th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Bollier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thibaut BONNEL (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Bertrand Guillot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.32

Paul LE GOUEZ

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.51
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.