National Championship 2025 - France - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Albert GUYO

2nd • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.5

Surp

6.3

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aurélien Cordier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cedric Bernard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Louis Guillot (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.50
R10	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.78
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.94
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.17
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.53
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.20
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Xavier Aubert

10th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Killian HENRY (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Etienne Duruy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.69
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.41
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Aurélien Cordier

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.