FaB-Results

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2025 - France

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Grégory Lefebvre
32nd • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
Deck
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Karl Cleuziou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ulysse Bousquet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Therssen Hugo
24th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
Deck
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Degrandis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Nennig (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Victor Bousch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.