National Championship 2025 - France - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC) - FaB-Results

Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs jean-baptiste debry--mournetas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

Prism, Awakener of Sol

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs May Made (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ulysse Bousquet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Antoine Billy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.58	2.74

Cédric Florent

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Karl Cleuziou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.