National Championship 2025 - France - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Théo Marmisse

31st • 5-1-0

50%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

5.4

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Antoine Billy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Valentin Jacqueline (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.71
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	2.54
R11	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.68

Dylan Chavelard

42nd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs simon diaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dorian LOISON (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Nicolas Gardize (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.69
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Corentin Guillemot

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Pecastaing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mathieu Gomez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gwenaël Senmartin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.53

Thomas Chevrinais

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Charles Tardif (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Simon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.06
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Robin Meunier

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Brunoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs robin gasparini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Fourrier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.