Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Konstantinos Paltoglou

11th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Beddy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs panagiotis ntemiris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs George Papatheodorou (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.11

panagiotis ntemiris

12th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yannis Stathakis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.56
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.75

Gregory Patellis

18th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evangelos Mytis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs panagiotis ntemiris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yannis Stathakis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.87
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kanaris Bounas

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Μαριος Γιουβανούδης (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Mitsikoudis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.41
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.38
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Dionysios Marinos

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Phylactou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.