Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Konstantinos Paltoglou

11th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Beddy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs panagiotis ntemiris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs George Papatheodorou (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.00

panagiotis ntemiris

12th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yannis Stathakis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.16
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.30

Gregory Patellis

18th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evangelos Mytis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs panagiotis ntemiris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yannis Stathakis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.10
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.09
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kanaris Bounas

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Μαριος Γιουβανούδης (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Mitsikoudis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.32
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.51
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Dionysios Marinos

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Phylactou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.