Ira, Scarlet Revenger at National Championship 2025 - Greece
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Ritzakis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paris Stevolaimos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.