Kassai of the Golden Sand at National Championship 2025

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nikos Louganis

17th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dionysios Marinos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs George Paraskevopoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs panagiotis ntemiris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.54
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Periklis Chatzistefanidis

29th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs panagiotis ntemiris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Paris Stevolaimos

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dimos Dafnis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anastasios Chatzisavvidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.56
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.18
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.