Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2025 - Greece
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theofilos Papadopoulos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stella Skepetari (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Round 8: Loss vs Christos Giannelos (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Mitsikoudis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.