Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025 - Greece
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Beddy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Iason Kouvakas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kanaris Bounas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anastasios Chatzisavvidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
9th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thanos Kotsikas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Giannis Kouris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
21st • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dimos Dafnis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Round 8: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andreas Phylactou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
23rd • 4-2-0
17%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Evangelos Mytis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antonis Autzalanidis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
26th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dionysios Marinos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Win vs Nikolas Koutounidis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christos Giannelos (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.