Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at National Championship 2025

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Isidoros Popovits

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John Kitsos (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.38
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.75
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.84
R10	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Panagiotis Panos

15th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs George Papatheodorou (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nikolaos Gkilis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Μαριος Γιουβανούδης (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andreas Phylactou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.87
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.39

KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Giannis Kouris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 87:13

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.33
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.15
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Dimitris Melissinos

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.14
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.