National Championship 2025 - Greece - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Isidoros Popovits

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John Kitsos (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.96
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.91
R10	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Panagiotis Panos

15th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs George Papatheodorou (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nikolaos Gkilis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Μαριος Γιουβανούδης (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andreas Phylactou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.95
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.54

KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Giannis Kouris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.37
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.25
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Dimitris Melissinos

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.16
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.