National Championship 2025 - Greece - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (CC)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kostas Tsolakidis

25th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anatoliy Mok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antonis Autzalanidis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nikolas Koutounidis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs George Papatheodorou (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.83
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Yannis Stathakis

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs panagiotis ntemiris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nikolas Koutounidis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs John Kitsos (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Evangelos Mytis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.22
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.53
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

George Paraskevopoulos

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Kitsos (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Panagiotis Sotiropoulos

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Foutsitzoglou (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Mitsikoudis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Ritzakis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dimos Dafnis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.