National Championship 2025 - Greece - Arakni, Marionette (CC)

Arakni, Marionette

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vasilis Kirlis

5th • 6-1-0

71%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.9

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Isidoros Popovits (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 64:36

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Anastasios Chatzisavvidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.42
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

George Papatheodorou

19th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kostas Tsolakidis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.37
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.13
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Giannis Kouris

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thanos Kotsikas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Dimos Dafnis

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paris Stevolaimos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.