Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

14th 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.9
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Bravo, Showstopper
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 75:25
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Dash I/O
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
10th 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anastasios Kouvousis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Dash I/O
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anatoliy Mok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs George Papatheodorou (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Bravo, Showstopper
!!
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.