FaB-Results

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at National Championship 2025 - Greece

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Giannis Karyotakis
14th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
5.3
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
Bravo, Showstopper
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Dash I/O
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Nikos Tavoulareas
10th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anastasios Kouvousis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Dash I/O
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anatoliy Mok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs George Papatheodorou (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Jarl Vetreiði
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27
Bravo, Showstopper
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.