Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Iason Kouvakas

3rd • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dimitris Foutsitzoglou (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Anastasios Chatzisavvidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.08
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.20
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.83
R11	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andreas Ritzakis

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nikos Evgenidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.26
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.68	2.33
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Μαριος Γιουβανούδης

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kanaris Bounas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Panagiotis Panos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.11

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.