National Championship 2025 - Greece - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

axilleas siskopoulos

27th • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thanos Kotsikas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.55
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.78

Evangelos Mytis

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stella Skepetari (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theofilos Papadopoulos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yannis Stathakis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.32
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Dimitris Foutsitzoglou

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Iason Kouvakas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.