Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2025

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

axilleas siskopoulos

27th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thanos Kotsikas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nikos Louganis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.63
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.11

Evangelos Mytis

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stella Skepetari (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theofilos Papadopoulos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yannis Stathakis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.32
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dimitris Foutsitzoglou

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Iason Kouvakas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.