Katsu, the Wanderer at National Championship 2025 - Greece
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kanaris Bounas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Win vs Michael Mitsikoudis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dionysios Dionysopoulos (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evangelos Mytis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kostas Tsolakidis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.