Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Aris Vasileiadis

20th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Periklis Chatzistefanidis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dimitris Foutsitzoglou (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.21
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.81
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Nikolas Koutounidis

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yannis Stathakis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kostas Tsolakidis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Phylactou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Panagiotis Xanthopoulos

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Thanos Kotsikas

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Giannis Kouris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.