Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anastasios Chatzisavvidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anastasios Kouvousis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonis Autzalanidis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Theofilos Papadopoulos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.