Bravo, Star of the Show
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
50%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.3
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs sean Burke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Franco (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Shing Tsang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
3rd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Thierry Bonard (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Finbarr "Steelfur" Begley (Unknown)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Justin Cu (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs sean Burke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs George Rodger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Shing Tsang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs David Calf (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
11th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Xavier McLean (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
19th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Adam Collins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
21st • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Tom Fownes (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Menion Croll (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Christian Franco (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
23rd • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs James Naylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jakob Allan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
24th • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Draw vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Draw |
32nd • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Fernandes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Draw vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Draw |
25th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Michael Clair (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Estelberger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
27th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Finn Kleine (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 80:20
80:20
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Paweł Sosnowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Christian Franco (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs George Rodger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Urban (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
29th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jakob Allan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Phil Mead (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Zak Miller (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Mike Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Max Löhe (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
40th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Unknown)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Edward Harris (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Phil Mead (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
53rd • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
80:20
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Edward Harris (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Menion Croll (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
57th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Fownes (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Max Löhe (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs James Naylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Alex Knott (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Xavier McLean (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Liam Canning (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Phil Mead (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Haill (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Elly Bird (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs George Rodger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Finn Kleine (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs David Calf (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.