Dromai, Ash Artist
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Damien Medhurst (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 65% | Loss |
51st • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
15:85
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs James Naylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
15:85
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Menion Croll (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
61st • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs sean Burke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Estelberger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
15:85
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Fownes (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Knott (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Mike Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 65:35
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Caroline Flamia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
15:85
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Haill (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.