Chane, Bound by Shadow at Battle Hardened: London
Chane, Bound by Shadow
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
90%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
5.2
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Estelberger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Elly Bird (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Adam Urban (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs George Rodger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
3rd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Damien Medhurst (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Callum Elcock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Vore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs George Rodger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs David Calf (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Zak Miller (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Menion Croll (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Adam Collins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
14th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
16th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Richard Carr (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Wallace Pate (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
18th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Adam Urban (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs George Rodger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Elly Bird (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Grigorian Tigran (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
26th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Max Löhe (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
28th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Tuck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
35th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Richard Carr (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alex Knott (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Emil Lohse (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
37th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
41st • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Adam Parker (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Walter Heidelberger (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
43rd • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Damien Medhurst (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Xavier McLean (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Mike Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
49th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Finn Kleine (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Canning (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
54th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Phil Mead (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Wallace Pate (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Elly Bird (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs James Naylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
56th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Adam Collins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
59th • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Menion Croll (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Callum Elcock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Paweł Sosnowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Estelberger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Unknown)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Urban (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs James Naylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel VandenBurg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Adam Parker (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Urban (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Haill (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.