Battle Hardened: London - Lexi, Livewire (LL)

Lexi, Livewire

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

James Naylor

64th • 1-6-0

71%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Estelberger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Damien Medhurst (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

10:90

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Walter Heidelberger (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 10:90

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

10:90

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Greg Mansfield

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Alex Knott (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

10:90

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Max Löhe (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 10:90

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R5	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Luiz Bretas

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Emil Lohse (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Callum Elcock

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Giannis Kapatos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53

10:90

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 10:90

10:90

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Matthew Tuck

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

10:90

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Max Löhe (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 10:90

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sebastiaan Knetsch

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	LL	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.