Battle Hardened: London - Florian, Rotwood Harbinger (LL)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Diana Green

48th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Edward Harris (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Giannis Kapatos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Wallace Pate (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Ferrara

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Rene Lorentsen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

80:20

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Dash I/O	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-

Pat Eshghy

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

70:30

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.