Battle Hardened: London - Dash I/O (LL)

Dash I/O

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sam Sutherland

17th • 5-2-0

14%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

80:20

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 78:22

25:75

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

45:55

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Menion Croll (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Max Löhe (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.05
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.54
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.77
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.15
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.34

Shing Tsang

30th • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Tom Fownes (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

25:75

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Adam Collins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Liam Canning (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.19
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.58
R4	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.16
R7	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Anton Cid Mejias

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

25:75

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73

20:80

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Urban (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Win	✗	0.82	1.23
R3	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Jonas Benzarti

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Enes Findik

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

25:75

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Bun Ar

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Connor Bryant

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.