Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-1-0
38%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Adam Haill (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jakob Allan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Christian Franco (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
15th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Tuck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs David Calf (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Shing Tsang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
44th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.