Briar, Warden of Thorns at Battle Hardened: London
Briar, Warden of Thorns
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs George Rodger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
34th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Collins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Tom Fownes (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Xavier McLean (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
39th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Adam Haill (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs David Calf (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Estelberger (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Damien Medhurst (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
50th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Christian Franco (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
58th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Haill (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Emil Lohse (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Urban (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Stassi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Edward Harris (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Franco (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.