Battle Hardened: London - Zen, Tamer of Purpose (LL) - FaB-Results

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

13th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

80:20

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Adam Parker (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 80:20

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Dromai, Ash Artist

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50

Lexi, Livewire

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Dromai, Ash Artist

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.05
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.62
R6	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Alexander Teague

20th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

65:35

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 64:36

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 45:55

Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs sean Burke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 45:55

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.19
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.50
R4	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.99
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

38th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 45:55

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Iyslander, Stormbind

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

Iyslander, Stormbind

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

Viserai, Rune Blood

60:40

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Liam Canning (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Daniel VandenBurg

55th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Viserai, Rune Blood

60:40

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Liam Canning (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41

Dromai, Ash Artist

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50

Nuu, Alluring Desire

R5

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Phil Mead (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

R7

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.32
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	LL	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Erwin Van Herrewegen

63rd • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Viserai, Rune Blood

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Canning (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Mike Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Iyslander, Stormbind

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

Lexi, Livewire

R5

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs James Naylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Dromai, Ash Artist

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Stephen Berlyant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Xavier McLean (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Dromai, Ash Artist

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.69
R5	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paweł Sosnowski

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Walter Heidelberger (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Chane, Bound by Shadow

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 55:45

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.65
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

65:35

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 64:36

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 45:55

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Elly Bird (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Mike Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Dromai, Ash Artist

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50

Nuu, Alluring Desire

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Phil Mead (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Daniel Fernandes

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Caroline Flamia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Bravo, Star of the Show

20:80

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Andrew Blackwell

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 45:55

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Fernandes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.