Battle Hardened: London - Viserai, Rune Blood (LL) - FaB-Results

Viserai, Rune Blood

Viserai, Rune Blood

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Iaali

31st • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Stassi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 54:46

Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 54:46

Chane, Bound by Shadow

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 42:58

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Pudding Tam (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 44:56

Chane, Bound by Shadow

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.88
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

47th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 54:46

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel VandenBurg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 62:38

Chane, Bound by Shadow

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 42:58

Dash I/O

60:40

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.88
R6	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

Lexi, Livewire

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47

Lexi, Livewire

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Callum Elcock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Pudding Tam (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 44:56

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 44:56

Chane, Bound by Shadow

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.36
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.72
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

40:60

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 42:58

Dromai, Ash Artist

60:40

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Iyslander, Stormbind

20:80

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Iyslander, Stormbind

20:80

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	LL	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.