Katsu, the Wanderer
35 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 10-3-0
31%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
6.4
Surp
5.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philippe Paquin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Nick Tucker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Round 8: Win vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bradley Tashman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Round 11: Win vs Timothy Long (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
Round 13: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
55th • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Cortez omana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anderson Soares (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Sharrin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cole Pellatt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Paul White (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Johnny Lam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
56th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Herzog (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Thomas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip Parker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Tran (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Hershey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tom Evans (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Randall Sims (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Oliver Phi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
58th • 9-4-0
31%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Geiger (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Young (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Win vs Alex Sneed (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
Round 11: Win vs David Lee (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Paul Naughton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
71st • 8-5-0
23%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.9
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Everett Irby (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs James Swain (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Justin Sybrandt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leonardo Pessôa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Randall Sims (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nicholas Santa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Nguyen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Robichaux (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Levy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Wolff (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Puckett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tanner Propst (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jeff Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Goodwin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 11: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Ross (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Paris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Milam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Win vs Nick Tucker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew VanPatten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Lovell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-1-0
50%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Brown (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cole Pellatt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Win vs Lee Kimball (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Colvin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Zachry Benz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Hopson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Owen Young (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Riley Lont (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Hoover (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Gehron (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Tran (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Cardoza (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Paris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Balgoyen (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Chad Allred (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Walter Snowden (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Damien Riggins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tanner Propst (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nicklas starland (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandan St. Amour (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Kent Summerour (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs James Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Joel Repta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristina (Kitty) Sick (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Rodriguez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dakota Scales (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Guy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Round 8: Win vs Menion Croll (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Norman Bayliss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Hood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Win vs Scott Egan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Deegan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Toryk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tony DeCaro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Win vs Branden Voss (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Goodwin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eli Teed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Popowich (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Seib (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marvin Dominguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Ferris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip Parker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Floris van Asch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeerod Balangan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emanuel Camacho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Addington (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Ribar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Shull (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael McDermott (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Desmond Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Addison Hudson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Connor Matza (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Bowers (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Fritts (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Russell Hedlund (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan Brushart (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Connor Talty (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Prince (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Win vs Caleb Nelson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Rasicot (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Cudney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jose Santos martinez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs Alex Broussard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Tucci (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lindsey Thiele (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lexie Klasing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sara Smith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Codato Antonio Silva (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Link (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chase Reiser (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Harris (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-7-0
38%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hollis Eacho (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Erick Boeder (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Cusick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Campos (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alek Idol (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Walker Stephens (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Yun (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rene Nottingham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael DeBoard (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Coleman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Smith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Wray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Sapiel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Ryan AuCoin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs Skyler Cady (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Richards (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chad Wischnewsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Mills (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Philippi (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Wolohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gwyndolin Newbill (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Wachter (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Keith Milde (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Loss vs Dakota Scales (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Bowden (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs BRAD ALLRED (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Mellina (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dustin LaFlamme (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chad McKittrick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Evans (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chase Reiser (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Cudney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Codato Antonio Silva (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Johnny Lam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zackary Whitt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Castilla (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wilson Badillo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Gascon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Egan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julian Helgeson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.