Azalea, Ace in the Hole
56 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+4.5
Perf
7.8
Surp
6.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darren Black (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Derek Copp (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peyton Sayasith (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Win vs Jack Stoney (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Correas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
48th • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan Brushart (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Santa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Thomas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs jamie bithell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
Round 10: Win vs Brandon Bianco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Correas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
68th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darryl Thompson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Justin Cardoza (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Sneed (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cole Pellatt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jie ma (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 10: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
72nd • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew MacNamee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corey Baker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Round 8: Win vs Oliver Phi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Timothy Long (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
84th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Mellina (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Yan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jie ma (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Todd Rowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 13: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan AuCoin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Justin Balanca-Hawkes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Rowland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Shaw (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Johnny Lam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Wolff (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Murphy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eli Teed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Powell (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs joseph lawson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Jurakovich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mae French (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Reinhardt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs JUSTIN FRYAR (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Win vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ren Fisk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Davis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Hopson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max Small (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 8: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Set (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sage Husanu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Evans (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 8: Win vs Justin Liwag (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cooper Pemelton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cardoza (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco Jurakovich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Zack Phillips (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 7: Win vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aidan Arruza (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs VINAY SONI (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Adcock (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip Middleton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lindsey Thiele (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Strianese (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Connor Talty (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Bova (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cooper Pemelton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Bell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Guy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyle Hebert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chris Fazio (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Caraher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ricky Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Puckett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Lynch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Conner Holtgreive (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ry mo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Long (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Madison Theriault (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Richards (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Erick Boeder (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Sybrandt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fredrick Gamble (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Mottram (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nigel Wunder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Max Small (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Fox (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Erick Ortiz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Smock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Charles Poe (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ethan Kirychuk (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Robichaux (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs jamie bithell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tae Kim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Wolfe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Biava (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs AARON COLHOUER (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Hollis Eacho (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Set (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Wardan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristina (Kitty) Sick (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mike DeNicola (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor Matza (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ian Olson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Woodward (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Mills (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Rasicot (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Melson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 8: Win vs joseph lawson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-1
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Leggett (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Branden Voss (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Shaheen Soorani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Sharrin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Alek Idol (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 8: Win vs Jesse Shaw (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rene Nottingham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Mink (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Matza (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Popowich (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Bowers (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nam Vo (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Talty (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cooper Pemelton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael McDermott (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan Brushart (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Round 8: Win vs Alek Idol (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Grantham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Simmons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tanya Wunder (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Donovan Wilcox (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Korovesi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Ross (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ridgely Fahey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Pawlak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandan St. Amour (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Amber Zee (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Round 8: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-1
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Wolff (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mike Euson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Walker Stephens (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tatiana Parada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael McDermott (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Wolfe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Matlack (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nigel Wunder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandan St. Amour (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Guinn (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-7-0
62%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Brannen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Tague (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chad McKittrick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew MacNamee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs westley nottingham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andre Belote (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kent Summerour (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Brown (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Win vs Shane Blake (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Olson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blake Lococo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Hopson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Sebastian Russell (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Bianco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Mark sipics (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Swain (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fuzzy Delp (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Greg Mitchell (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Evans (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Franche Tan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Broussard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Santa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Hill (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ashley Babiarz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josee Provencher (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Letourneau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Weaver (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
83%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Peter Zsiga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henry Robichaux (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jared Wyce (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Karlson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devon Conn (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Corey Baker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Letourneau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Ray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Holmes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Wachter (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Nelson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Donald Kell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Holinaty (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Salvatore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Verderame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Ferris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Coleman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Bianco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathen Byrd (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Freeman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Rosario (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Jaszczur (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ricky Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randall Sims (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tristan Mitchell (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs James Prince (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Bowden (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Guinn (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cooper Pemelton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dakota Scales (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Russell Hedlund (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs joseph lawson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Kesterson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colton Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gerald Camangon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Allison Oram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Walker Stephens (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs BRENT ANDERSON (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Wenger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elijah Flanders (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Sharrin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Goodwin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Catton (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Thiele (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Long (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs westley nottingham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Mills (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Pearce (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Fox (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pate (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Campos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Mullins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Colvin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Chiechi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Nenninger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.