FaB-Results
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gabriel Rasicot
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Dromai, Ash Artist
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seth Penner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Balanca-Hawkes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zackary Whitt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chad Allred (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Yun (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Gorski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Eric Gorski
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Briar, Warden of Thorns
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quinn Toulouse (Unknown)
Briar, Warden of Thorns
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
Lexi, Livewire
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 17:83
Bravo, Showstopper
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Erick Lofton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 59:41
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gabriel Rasicot (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Camilo Herrera
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Ross (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Uzuri, Switchblade
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Wyatt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 53:47
Uzuri, Switchblade
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 53:47
Iyslander, Stormbind
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 18:82
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 59:41
Bravo, Showstopper
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Halstad (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Gwyndolin Newbill
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 59:41
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Bravo, Showstopper
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Davila (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Dromai, Ash Artist
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Shaw (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.