Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling - Pro Tour: Baltimore
Dorinthea Ironsong
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 9-4-0
31%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Pham (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Ross Fontana (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Matt Davey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chris Ray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
Round 10: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yan Garito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jeff Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Sheridan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Fabio Rego (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yan Garito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fuzzy Delp (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Nguyen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs jamie bithell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eli Teed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper Mork (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Brannick (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Charles Simmons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Caraher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
62%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Ferris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashton Riggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Brannick (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs William Pate (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Biggs (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Collett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Draw |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Ham (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Olson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Martin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Verderame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenny Thai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ravi Nehra (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Win vs Mason Taylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Round 7: Loss vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Lee Kimball (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philippe Paquin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Tyler Goodridge (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Wyce (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Addington (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Cusick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
38%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Adam Roark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenny Thai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Case Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Link (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Powell (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason VanBuskirk (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Fazio (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Tan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Pearlman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Bryant (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Gabs Gable (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Briggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Lee (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Nenninger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs JUSTIN FRYAR (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Jenna Schoettker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Skyler Cady (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Case Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Poe (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Repta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Halstad (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Corey Baker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashley Babiarz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Postlewaite (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Levy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Gorski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marvin Dominguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
12%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan McGrew (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Sapiel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Will Reinhardt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Green (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
Round 7: Win vs Dakota Scales (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Colton Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Douglas Maclure (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Meacher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Case Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Briggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bill Jargowsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jon Smith (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Tucci (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erick Lofton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Prince (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gabriel Rasicot (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kashiem Brown (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs AJ Brown (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Win vs Skyler Cady (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zach Allen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Choiniere (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Jacob Balgoyen (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Popowich (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Menion Croll (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Travis Reeder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Walter Snowden (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bobby Jarboe (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeff Okrasinski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Scalco (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Price II (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Win vs Micah Perino (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Sara Smith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Owen Young (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Hayley Neighbors (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keegan Wolohan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
Round 5: Win vs Michael Dorsey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs JUSTIN FRYAR (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Justin Balanca-Hawkes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Draw |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Puckett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Hebert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Shaw (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rocky Cremeans (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Greg Mitchell (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Seib (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tanya Wunder (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Adam Green (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Daryl Bon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fuzzy Delp (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Richards (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Johnson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Costanzo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Vruwink (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Nigel Wunder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Maximiuk (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Price (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Mitchell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Cook (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Tan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Ugaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip Middleton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Conner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Levy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.