Arakni, Huntsman at Calling - Pro Tour: Baltimore
Arakni, Huntsman
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
78th • 8-5-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mike DeNicola (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Jaszczur (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Gehron (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carson Osborne (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aidan Arruza (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Darryl Thompson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabs Gable (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darius Hambleton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chad Allred (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marvin Dominguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Warner (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Reiser (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Bowers (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Cicchini (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Codato Antonio Silva (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Abbas Dedanwala (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Matlack (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs VINAY SONI (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Costanzo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Ordona (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tae Kim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Weaver (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colton Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jenna Schoettker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Castilla (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs William Pate (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs VINAY SONI (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Abbas Dedanwala (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Ham (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Ray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.