Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling - Pro Tour: Baltimore
Fai, Rising Rebellion
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 10-3-0
54%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Scruggs (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trenton McBride (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paul Naughton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alex Ptak (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
30th • 10-3-0
54%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Davila (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Will Reinhardt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan Perry (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Canales (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christian Weißling (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mathew Frye (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39
Round 11: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
34th • 9-4-0
31%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Tippen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Broussard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Win vs Madison Theriault (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Lynch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Win vs Corey Baker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs John Colvin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Win vs Yan Garito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
57th • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Postlewaite (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Kaminskie (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Chad Pennell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Steven Rodriguez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 11: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
59th • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zach Dietz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Levy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Cook (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Puckett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Ray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Lynch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
74th • 8-5-0
31%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Eric Holmes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Spencer Fritts (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jasper Mork (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fabio Rego (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Win vs Ren Fisk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Santa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Muus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
Round 12: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jie ma (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Russell Hedlund (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Riley Lont (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Steeves (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carl Norman (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Womack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matt Muus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Michael McDowell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Christian Ugaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Eckenrode (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darren Rennie (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Tippen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Wolfe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sean Moyer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luke Shinn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derek Zellner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs nicklas starland (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul White (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eli Teed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Guinn (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs RONNY MARTIN (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs JEREMY CHERNICK (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Canales (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Josh Campos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Yan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Artie Hamelin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathen Byrd (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Coleman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs BRAD ALLRED (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sabastian Chizhik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Small (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Bowden (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Seth Penner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steven Rodriguez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Repta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Cindrah Moore (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Puckett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyle Peterson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Chiechi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Shinn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Derek Chiu (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs James Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nova Chan (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Irons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Chad Wischnewsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Philliips (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Thourgood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Chad Wischnewsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs BRAD ALLRED (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anderson Soares (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Hershey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Schelasin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darren Rennie (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs AARON COLHOUER (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Menion Croll (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Rodriguez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Keith Milde (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Price (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bill Jargowsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Alex Milam (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Barnett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Jaszczur (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Yoder (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Legg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tessa Myers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Porter Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jorge Gonzalez (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Davila (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Self (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs westley nottingham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Cudney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devon Conn (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Russell Hedlund (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Hopson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Karlson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Gambone (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Conner Holtgreive (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Maring (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam OByrne (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Loss vs Micah Perino (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Heather Fechter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Devin Bell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Fox (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Peterson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Castilla (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Garris (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Matlack (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.