Briar, Warden of Thorns
43 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Fields (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lynch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Ross Fontana (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
15th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Irons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Mellina (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamie Utley (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs anthony Petrillo (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Schelasin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Round 10: Win vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brandon Bianco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
69%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Dennis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie Grantham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Halstad (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Sean Biava (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jeff Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 13: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
73rd • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bradley Tashman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alissa Clarke (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Blake Lococo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fabio Rego (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Lynch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs John Colvin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
76th • 8-5-0
85%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Branden Voss (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elijah Flanders (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Kesterson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Erick Boeder (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs connor rooney (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rob Sheridan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
Round 9: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
81st • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Parker Longwell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Fazio (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yan Garito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brandon Bianco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Lynch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
85th • 7-6-0
85%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Dorsey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathew Frye (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Wolff (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Martin Schelasin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul White (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emery Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 11: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (7.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs William Pate (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bryce Johnson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Olson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Barding (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Biggs (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs Donald Kell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jasper Mork (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brandon Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Muus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Spencer Beck (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Eckenrode (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mae French (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ravi Nehra (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elijah Calub (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Roger Bodee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Wyce (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabs Gable (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitchell Tillery (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zach Allen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zach Dietz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Todd Rowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seth Penner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Bianco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caleb Broussard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Eckenrode (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alek Idol (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Stanish (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Knight (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Shaw (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elijah Calub (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Skyler Lewis (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Gant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chad Pennell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Skyler Lewis (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henry Robichaux (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mae French (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Brannen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Bell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Trotta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Caleb Broussard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Briggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Gorski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chad Pennell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Spencer Freeman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip Parker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Golightly (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Fortin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Kerch (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Briggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
Round 8: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs brynn nieboer (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffery Fredrickson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darren Black (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Todd Rowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bill Jargowsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ethan Mitchell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Warner (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Egan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Conner Holtgreive (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nigel Wunder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Win vs Chris Rowland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Wardan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Thourgood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bradley Tashman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs connor rooney (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 6: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Bannigan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Pearce (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Wray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Colton Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sara Smith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Mitchell Tillery (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Bryant (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Paquin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Peterson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Cusick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Adcock (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JUSTIN FRYAR (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Bortz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Hershey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jie ma (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric LaGaccia (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Lee (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bobby Jarboe (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Donovan Wilcox (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Addington (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael DeBoard (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Scalco (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kaminskie (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Travis Woodward (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Briggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs VINAY SONI (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Desmond Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Blake Lococo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam OByrne (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fredrick Gamble (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs jamie bithell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Ian Olson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zackary Whitt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bastien Le Guen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Logan Perry (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Melson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Hershey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanya Wunder (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Trotta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Walker Stephens (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ry mo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Thourgood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Cook (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Irons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs joseph lawson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fredrick Gamble (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Corey Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandan St. Amour (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carl Norman (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Ribar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Gorski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Martin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Freeland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Gehron (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Gambone (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Saldana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Prince (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs westley nottingham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Harris (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Matza (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.