Bravo, Showstopper
48 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 10-3-0
31%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erick Boeder (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Reinhardt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Bobby Jarboe (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chad Pennell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyle Meserve (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Round 13: Win vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
79th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carter Bayne (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Wolfe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Win vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bradley Tashman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
86th • 7-5-1
46%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
6.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Thourgood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Carson Osborne (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Tillery (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bastien Le Guen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Sybrandt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Round 13: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
87th • 7-6-0
54%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andre Maldonado (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan Brushart (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Webb (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Strianese (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aiden Dee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Round 7: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Barnett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nicholas Santa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs John Colvin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
88th • 7-6-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
6.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Justin Balanca-Hawkes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max Small (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Johnny Lam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
45%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chad Pennell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Davey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew VanPatten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 7: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dave Lin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Paul Naughton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Paul White (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Blake (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Rowland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Santa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Mitchell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emanuel Camacho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Smith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Stephen Perez (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zach Dietz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Letourneau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Bova (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tristan Hanson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Wolfe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Keith Milde (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamie Utley (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Allen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs westley nottingham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roger Bodee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Lee (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Durci (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devin Rattenni (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Donovan Wilcox (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Tran (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chad Wischnewsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Paulo Fernandes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Himmelberger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Louis Solymos (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Portillo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-2
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Peter Zsiga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Sapiel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Smock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kyle Eckenrode (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gerald Camangon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Letourneau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Derek Byrne (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Melson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs June Aino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs westley nottingham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Talty (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs June Aino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael McDowell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rylie Groff (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Wolff (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Bryant (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Levy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Austin Tippen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nam Vo (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chad Wischnewsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Mitchell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gwyndolin Newbill (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emanuel Camacho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Caleb Nelson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Caleb Broussard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul White (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Rosario (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alec Myers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Nenninger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tatiana Parada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Link (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 8: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Nenninger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Owen Young (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Derek Chiu (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Mullins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Christian Weißling (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Eckenrode (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Korovesi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Naughton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Canales (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeff Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Skyler Lewis (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elijah Flanders (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Menion Croll (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lee Conner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Zumwalt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mae French (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colton Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Eckenrode (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Broussard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tristan Hanson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ektor Angelomatis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs William Pate (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-1
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Steeves (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Claire Stanfield (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dakota Scales (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rowsendo Nelson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Alek Idol (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ashley Babiarz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs westley nottingham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
88%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Parker Longwell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darick Oswalt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Shaw (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Harris (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew MacNamee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Choiniere (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
88%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cole Pellatt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Fritts (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Gorski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Russell Hedlund (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Allison Oram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle Peterson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Mike DeNicola (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Fazio (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Garris (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Roark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tae Kim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ren Fisk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Thiele (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Camilo Herrera (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Gardner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs jamie bithell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Golightly (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josh Campos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darius Hambleton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charles Simmons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Julian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Duszynski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julian Helgeson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leo Shea (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Trotta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Salvatore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Codato Antonio Silva (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mara Richard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeffrey Lang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Heather Fechter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Davey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Bell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alec Myers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Mottram (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Addison Hudson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ciro Gambone (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Owen Young (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael DeBoard (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dakota Scales (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ciro Gambone (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Cindrah Moore (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Smith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paulo Fernandes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Ross (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Desmond Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Strianese (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Ray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Duszynski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Domalakes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs James Thourgood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tessa Myers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Nguyen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Matza (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs anthony Petrillo (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ektor Angelomatis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Sybrandt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Shoopman (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chad Bortz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tessa Myers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Naughton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Weaver (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Wolfe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.