Iyslander, Stormbind
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
42nd • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Barnett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tristan Kilper (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake Woodward (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Hood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Liam Trodden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Goodwin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Correas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
49th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Shoopman (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Freeland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip Parker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Chris Brummett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Bryant (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Oliver Phi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Johnny Lam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
52nd • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ridgely Fahey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lexie Klasing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam OByrne (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Warner (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Travis Woodward (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Richards (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Edward Knight (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Paul White (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
53rd • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Milam (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Moyer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Richards (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Cortez omana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 11: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
60th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Zach Allen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Milam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tanner Propst (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs John Colvin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Cortez omana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
Round 9: Loss vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Austin Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tatiana Parada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ry mo (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Fox (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip Middleton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Kern (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Brown (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Barding (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Shull (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Mitchell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Derek Copp (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Matlack (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Shinn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Copp (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Randall Sims (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JUSTIN FRYAR (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Muus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Lee (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Michael DeBoard (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Dexter Canright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Fay (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Bradley Tashman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Toryk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Balanca-Hawkes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Erick Ortiz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Menion Croll (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs The Better Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jie ma (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyler Dustin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Legg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Chris Brummett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Wenger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Lynch (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Mason Taylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
Round 8: Win vs Justin Rowland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Kirychuk (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Strianese (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mathew Frye (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lee Maring (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan McGrew (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paulo Fernandes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Philip Middleton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wilson Badillo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gregory Price (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Pawlak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Fields (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tim Seib (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Smith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenny Thai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Gardner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Castilla (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Poe (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lee Conner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Round 8: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Flores (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Coleman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Douglas Levy (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grant Kern (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Devin Bell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Brannen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seth Penner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Swain (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erick Ortiz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tim Seib (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle Eckenrode (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hudson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Popowich (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Wachter (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Wolford (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Warner (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Camilo Herrera (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Cudney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lexie Klasing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Seibert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erick Boeder (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Tague (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joseph Bowers (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Cameron Boutot (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zach Dietz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anastasia Benner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Smith (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Thiele (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manuel Rosario (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kashiem Brown (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Amber Zee (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Jamie Utley (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Riddle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Erick Lofton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Roark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.