Kano, Dracai of Aether
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 10-3-0
54%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Perez (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Broussard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ren Fisk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 11: Loss vs Bradley Tashman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sean Moyer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
54th • 9-4-0
38%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Liwag (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeffery Fredrickson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Donald Kell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs nicklas starland (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eli Teed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Nguyen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Case Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanya Wunder (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian McLachlin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Martin Schelasin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Perry (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Everett Irby (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitchel Tobey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Hill (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs connor rooney (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Erick Ortiz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mae French (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Meacher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Fazio (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Cusick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Gerdes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leigh Pushard (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Freeland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Addison Hudson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Norman Bayliss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Zumwalt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Melson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Perez (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs jamie bithell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael McDowell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Toryk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joel Repta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Madison Theriault (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Sheridan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Arruza (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Gerdes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Nenninger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philip Middleton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alec Myers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darius Hambleton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Fields (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Durci (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donovan Wilcox (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Walter Snowden (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tommy Golightly (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Loss vs James Tague (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Amber Zee (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Smith (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Ali (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Tran (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keegan Wolohan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs James Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Ricky Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Beck (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Sitrick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Broussard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mike DeNicola (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Mellina (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Kerch (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Coleman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Sharrin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Ugaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs BRAD ALLRED (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenneth Yan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carter Bayne (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devin Bell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Fay (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Benz (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tristan Kilper (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Mapes (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Madison Theriault (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Randall Suliga (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caleb Nelson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chad McKittrick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leo Shea (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Hood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Choiniere (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Broussard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Postlewaite (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Whipkey (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Michael Pawlak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Wenger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Naughton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Long Dao (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Set (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Scruggs (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Choiniere (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Wyatt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.