Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Peterson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Salvatore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devin Bell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mike DeNicola (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 51:49
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Thomas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Win vs Andy Portillo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
Round 6: Win vs Paul Fortin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Grant Kern (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Todd Rowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs George Panageotou (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyler Dustin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
Round 7: Win vs Philip Middleton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Price II (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dustin Self (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Goodwin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Seib (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Leo Shea (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Set (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-7-0
38%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Julian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Causey (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Conner Holtgreive (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ashley Babiarz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Rosario (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew MacNamee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Logan Brushart (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Webb (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Julian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.