Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Dennis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sean Davis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Win vs Darryl Thompson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 10: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
10:90
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Randall Sims (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bradley Tashman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Loss |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Keith Milde (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Sean Biava (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sean Davis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
Round 8: Win vs The Better Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Webb (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Mink (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Chiechi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Molho (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nathan Gardner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Daryl Bon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Evans (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Hendricks (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Mullins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffery Fredrickson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Allison Oram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Shull (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Hollis Eacho (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kaminskie (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Andrew MacNamee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Cusick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Draw |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Cory Lonas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Norman Bayliss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zach Allen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Tippen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyler Dustin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Tucci (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Richard Whipkey (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Talty (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis Reeder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Popowich (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Hudson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Kern (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Paul Deegan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Daniel Link (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ridgely Fahey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Draw |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bobby Jarboe (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 11:89
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Donald Kell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Artie Hamelin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.