Battle Hardened: Birmingham 2023 - Kassai, Cintari Sellsword (Blitz)

Kassai, Cintari Sellsword

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Connor McGrath

5th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Kathryn Marshall (Kano) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Christian Uffelmann (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Steiner (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R3	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Alexander Steiner

13th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Natalia Berger (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Connor McIndewar (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Igor Koutzevitch (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.72
R5	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.90
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.61
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thierry Entringer

14th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Tuck (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Christian Uffelmann (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Emlyn Ingram

17th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jude Fisher (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Ethan Rambarran (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Toon Vertommen (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.91
R5	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.90
R6	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Christopher Clark

21st • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.1

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Thomas (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Mohammad Rafiq (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Danni Andersen (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Paul Crame (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Sébastien Guilbaud (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.61
R7	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.26

Gabriel Leeming

26th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs David Calf (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Sven Tscheppainz (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Ville Schalin (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Mathias W (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.37
R6	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Tomasz Żelazko

29th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Jude Fisher (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Uffelmann (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Tuck (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Thierry Entringer (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.90
R6	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.65
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Julien Erdreich

33rd • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel VandenBurg (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jason Ogden (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Craig Johnson (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Dan York (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Katsu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.72
R5	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.08
R7	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Antonis Kazouris

52nd • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Dan York (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Tuck (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.32
R4	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.08
R7	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Haukur Thor Buason

55th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs James Dales (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs elliot boxall (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Noah Hicks (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Jose Alves (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Blitz	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jose Alves

58th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Dinsdale (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Mathias W (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Natasha Collins (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Natalia Berger (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Edward Harris

61st • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs James Thourgood (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Samuel Thomas (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R2	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75

Javier Mellado Tellez

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Zak Murray (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Maximilien Berger (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Sven Tscheppainz (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Noah Hicks (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jake Armes (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R3	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kamil "Kaka" Żerek

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Dan York (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Crame (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jodie Dorling (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.25
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

George Bowles

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Joe Potter (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.79
R3	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

ISABELLE WIMBLE

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Troth (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jack Raven (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.50
R3	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.