Levia at Battle Hardened: Birmingham 2023

Levia

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kate Dunstone

20th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Mohammad Rafiq (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Mark Spilsbury (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Raven (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Christian Uffelmann (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Matthias Verbeeck

37th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Noah Hicks

53rd • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Javier Mellado Tellez (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Adam Haill (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jack Raven

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs James Ashall (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs ISABELLE WIMBLE (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Richardson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs David Calf (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mark Spilsbury

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ville Schalin (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kate Dunstone (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Tuck (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Martin Bergström

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jason Ogden

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Thomas (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.