Battle Hardened: Birmingham 2023 - Prism (Blitz)

Prism

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rhyan Bromell

24th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Natalia Berger (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Chane) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jake Armes (Prism) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Chane) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs René Schep (Chane) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Jake Armes

dropped • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Chane) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Natasha Collins (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Liam Canning (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Prism) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Javier Mellado Tellez (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Darren Hazelden

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs James Thourgood (Chane) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Dinsdale (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs kurtulus ay (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

10:90

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Rhinar) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.53
R3	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Christian Jelle

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Craig Johnson (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.